Over/Under 4.5 Goals.
Over and Under 4.5 goals probability for today's fixtures, calculated directly from bookmaker odds — never a separate number that could disagree with the odds shown next to it. Free on every plan, no login required.
Eemdijk have scored 6 in their last 5, conceding 14, while Roosendaal have scored 8 in their last 5, conceding 9. Put together, Over 4.5 at 29% looks the clear read here.
Groene Ster have been scoring freely, netting 10 goals in their last 5, while AFC Amsterdam have scored 9 in their last 5, conceding 6. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 29%.
RKAV Volendam have scored in each of their last 5 games (7 goals in total), while Spakenburg have scored in each of their last 5 games (8 goals in total). That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 25%.
Staphorst have scored 6 in their last 5, conceding 8, while SC Genemuiden have scored 10 in their last 5, conceding 4. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 22%.
Koninklijke HFC have been scoring freely, netting 10 goals in their last 5, while Dovo have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 11. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 23% given all that.
GVVV Veenendaal have scored 8 in their last 5, conceding 14, while DVS 33 Ermelo have been scoring freely, netting 10 goals in their last 5. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 27%.
HHC have been scoring freely, netting 10 goals in their last 5, while Barendrecht have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 6. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 24% given all that.
Over 4.5 looks the favorite here at 34% to Under 4.5's 66%.
Rijnvogels have been scoring freely, netting 19 goals in their last 5, while Vvsb have scored 8 in their last 5, conceding 8. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 22%.
Sportlust '46 have been scoring freely, netting 13 goals in their last 5, while Excelsior Maassluis have scored 9 in their last 5, conceding 4. Put together, Over 4.5 at 25% looks the clear read here.
ACV have been scoring freely, netting 18 goals in their last 5, while Hoogeveen have scored 9 in their last 5, conceding 10. Backing that up, Over 4.5 sits at 38% here.
Pre-match read: Lean: Over 4.5 (18%, 5.23 avg odds).
Odds have Over 4.5 at 12%, Under 4.5 at 88%.
Al Hamriyah have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 7, while Al Thaid have scored 11 in their last 5, conceding 6. Put together, Over 4.5 at 17% looks the clear read here.
Al Urooba have scored in each of their last 5 games (6 goals in total), while Dubai City have scored in each of their last 5 games (8 goals in total). That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 21%.
Over 4.5 sits at 13%, with Under 4.5 at 87%.
Showing 16 of 62 fixtures
Academico Viseu U23 have been scoring freely, netting 10 goals in their last 5, while Estoril U23 have been scoring freely, netting 12 goals in their last 5. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 18%.
Over 4.5 looks the favorite here at 14% to Under 4.5's 86%.
Over 4.5 sits at 13%, with Under 4.5 at 87%.
Muaither SC have scored 7 in their last 4, conceding 3, while Al-Khor have scored 6 in their last 4, conceding 9. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 23% given all that.
Al Mesaimeer have scored in each of their last 4 games (4 goals in total), while Al Waab have scored 6 in their last 5, conceding 3. Put together, Over 4.5 at 18% looks the clear read here.
Leicester have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 8, while Fulham U21 have been scoring freely, netting 10 goals in their last 5. Enough to lean Over 4.5 at 43%, without calling it settled.
Wigan have scored 3 in their last 5, conceding 7, while Blackpool have been scoring freely, netting 10 goals in their last 5. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 21% given all that.
Barnsley have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 13, while Leeds United U21 have scored 10 in their last 5, conceding 9. That's enough to make Over 4.5 the pick at 35%.
Burton Albion have scored 9 in their last 5, conceding 10, while Nottingham Forest U21 have scored in each of their last 5 games (8 goals in total). That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 28%.
Rochdale have scored 6 in their last 5, conceding 5, while Liverpool U21 have scored 8 in their last 4, conceding 4. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 27% given all that.
Walsall have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 4, while Stevenage have scored 9 in their last 5, conceding 5. Put together, Over 4.5 at 13% looks the clear read here.
Chesterfield have been scoring freely, netting 13 goals in their last 5, while Port Vale have scored 2 in their last 5, conceding 6. Put together, Over 4.5 at 22% looks the clear read here.
Gillingham have been scoring freely, netting 11 goals in their last 5, while Cambridge United have scored in each of their last 5 games (8 goals in total). That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 16%.
Milton Keynes Dons have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 7, while Crawley Town have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 11. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 29% given all that.
Oldham have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 7, while Fleetwood Town have scored in each of their last 5 games (6 goals in total). Put together, Over 4.5 at 18% looks the clear read here.
Peterborough have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 8, while Colchester have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 7. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 22%.
Showing 32 of 62 fixtures
Swindon Town have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 9, while Newport County have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 6. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 17% given all that.
San Lorenzo Res. have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 6, while Huracán Res. have scored 9 in their last 5, conceding 5. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 11%.
Vélez Sársfield Res. have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 1, while Ferro 2 have scored 3 in their last 5, conceding 11. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 18% given all that.
Plymouth have scored 12 in their last 5, conceding 6, while Crystal Palace U21 have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 4. That's enough to make Over 4.5 the pick at 36%.
Luton have scored 6 in their last 5, conceding 9, while Ipswich Town U21 have scored 10 in their last 5, conceding 15. Backing that up, Over 4.5 sits at 40% here.
Accrington ST have scored 8 in their last 5, conceding 9, while Sunderland U21 have been scoring freely, netting 14 goals in their last 5. Over 4.5 carries the edge into this one at 30%.
Crewe have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 5, while Aston Villa U21 have scored 10 in their last 5, conceding 12. That's enough to make Over 4.5 the pick at 33%.
Cheltenham have been scoring freely, netting 11 goals in their last 5, while Exeter City have scored 3 in their last 5, conceding 2. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 22%.
Dumbarton have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 12, while Kilmarnock II have been scoring freely, netting 6 goals in their last 3. Over 4.5 carries the edge into this one at 31%.
Queen of the South have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 15, while Annan Athletic have scored 9 in their last 5, conceding 3. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 20%.
Alloa Athletic have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 6, while Hibernian U21 have failed to score in any of their last 3. Over 4.5 carries the edge into this one at 31%.
Forfar Athletic have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 10, while Peterhead have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 10. Put together, Over 4.5 at 21% looks the clear read here.
Stirling Albion have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 16, while Cumbernauld Colts have scored 11 in their last 5, conceding 12. Backing that up, Over 4.5 sits at 32% here.
Banks O' Dee have scored 12 in their last 5, conceding 7, while Aberdeen U21 have been scoring freely, netting 8 goals in their last 3. Over 4.5 carries the edge into this one at 30%.
Berwick Rangers have scored 3 in their last 5, conceding 6, while Stranraer have been scoring freely, netting 16 goals in their last 5. Put together, Over 4.5 at 25% looks the clear read here.
Clyde have been scoring freely, netting 12 goals in their last 5, while Rangers U21 have been scoring freely, netting 7 goals in their last 3. Backing that up, Over 4.5 sits at 37% here.
Showing 48 of 62 fixtures
East Kilbride have scored 8 in their last 5, conceding 8, while Celtic II have scored 9 in their last 5, conceding 12. Over 4.5 carries the edge into this one at 39%.
Edinburgh City have been scoring freely, netting 14 goals in their last 5, while Dundee United II have scored 3 in their last 3, conceding 9. That's enough to make Over 4.5 the pick at 35%.
Elgin City have scored 13 in their last 5, conceding 9, while Dundee II have scored in each of their last 3 games (4 goals in total). Backing that up, Over 4.5 sits at 37% here.
Formartine United have scored in each of their last 5 games (8 goals in total), while Montrose have been scoring freely, netting 12 goals in their last 5. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 25% given all that.
Fraserburgh have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 15, while Cove Rangers have scored 8 in their last 5, conceding 7. Put together, Over 4.5 at 29% looks the clear read here.
Kelty Hearts have scored 7 in their last 5, conceding 10, while Hearts U21's last 3 matches have all gone over 4.5 goals. Backing that up, Over 4.5 sits at 30% here.
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have scored 10 in their last 5, conceding 9, while Airdrie United have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 3. Little reason to look past Over 4.5 at 23% given all that.
Clachnacuddin have scored 8 in their last 5, conceding 6, while Ross County have scored 15 in their last 5, conceding 9. Over 4.5 carries the edge into this one at 34%.
Gala Fairydean Rovers have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 15, while Spartans have scored 10 in their last 5, conceding 11. That's enough to make Over 4.5 the pick at 35%.
D. Puerto Montt have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 11, while Nublense have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 9. Put together, Over 4.5 at 11% looks the clear read here.
2 de Mayo have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 8, while SOL DE America have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 7. Put together, Over 4.5 at 13% looks the clear read here.
Central Córdoba SdE Res. have scored in each of their last 5 games (8 goals in total), while Atlético Tucumán Res. have scored 3 in their last 5, conceding 10. Put together, Over 4.5 at 14% looks the clear read here.
A. Italiano have scored 4 in their last 5, conceding 6, while Colo Colo have scored 11 in their last 5, conceding 3. That form lines up with the odds — Over 4.5 well clear at 16%.
Cobreloa have scored 5 in their last 5, conceding 5, while Coquimbo Unido have scored 6 in their last 5, conceding 10. Put together, Over 4.5 at 13% looks the clear read here.
Showing 62 of 62 fixtures
What the Over/Under 4.5 Goals market actually measures
Over/Under 4.5 Goals asks one direct question: will the two teams combine for 2 or more goals (Over), or 0-1 goals total (Under)? Every percentage on this page is calculated directly from tracked bookmaker odds for both sides of this market — not a separate estimate — so the percentage and the odds shown next to it always agree with each other.
How the percentage is actually calculated
Each bookmaker's Over and Under 4.5 odds imply a probability (roughly 1 ÷ odds), but the two sides' implied probabilities sum to slightly more than 100% — that gap is the bookmaker's built-in margin. This page averages odds across every tracked bookmaker for a fixture, then removes that margin mathematically so the two percentages sum to exactly 100%, leaving an internally consistent read.
Why some fixtures don't appear here
A fixture needs both Over 4.5 and Under 4.5 odds tracked before it can be assessed at all. Beyond that, this page is curated rather than showing every priced fixture: Over 4.5 only appears as the pick when its average odds sit between 1.13 and 9.00 — below that is too obvious to be useful, above it too uncertain to call for a market this high-variance. A fixture priced outside that band is left off the page entirely.
How this connects to other markets
4.5 is a genuinely high-variance line — most matches don't reach it, which is why Under 4.5 is far more often the favorite. For a more common, competitive read, Over/Under 1.5 Goals is usually the more balanced market.